Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.082530 0.095394 0.109595 0.126433 0.145857 0.167566 0.193677
2025-12-28 0.064309 0.082130 0.103817 0.132153 0.168219 0.212625 0.271517
2026-01-04 0.053737 0.073595 0.099468 0.135651 0.184990 0.249998 0.342323
2026-01-11 0.046425 0.067308 0.096072 0.138591 0.199920 0.285315 0.413554
2026-01-18 0.040474 0.061647 0.092249 0.139711 0.211580 0.316551 0.481998
2026-01-25 0.035096 0.055868 0.087210 0.137955 0.218211 0.340553 0.541904
2026-02-01 0.030161 0.049986 0.081099 0.133488 0.219702 0.356359 0.590334
2026-02-08 0.027463 0.047246 0.079441 0.135661 0.231642 0.389378 0.669507
2026-02-15 0.024886 0.044333 0.077078 0.136235 0.240765 0.418456 0.745012
2026-02-22 0.022886 0.042133 0.075598 0.138023 0.251962 0.451913 0.831426
2026-03-01 0.020455 0.038853 0.071827 0.135238 0.254591 0.470466 0.892945
2026-03-08 0.018448 0.036099 0.068666 0.133135 0.258095 0.490713 0.959453
2026-03-15 0.017093 0.034454 0.067427 0.134614 0.268704 0.525588 1.058513
2026-03-22 0.016418 0.034063 0.068529 0.140765 0.289088 0.581286 1.204891
2026-03-29 0.015529 0.033127 0.068443 0.144491 0.304975 0.629736 1.341991
2026-04-05 0.014662 0.032127 0.068103 0.147623 0.319922 0.677744 1.483420
2026-04-12 0.013695 0.030796 0.066922 0.148816 0.330848 0.718472 1.613739
2026-04-19 0.012559 0.028960 0.064465 0.146945 0.334875 0.744891 1.715517
2026-04-26 0.011311 0.026725 0.060895 0.142188 0.331914 0.755724 1.783319
2026-05-03 0.010720 0.025937 0.060457 0.144502 0.345286 0.804188 1.943074
2026-05-10 0.010058 0.024904 0.059347 0.145113 0.354722 0.844594 2.088210
2026-05-17 0.009538 0.024153 0.058809 0.147018 0.367421 0.893819 2.259977
2026-05-24 0.008761 0.022678 0.056389 0.144051 0.367875 0.913895 2.361859